Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.310209 0.417410 0.535928 0.674400 0.829721 0.996818 1.188532
2025-04-13 0.180081 0.321173 0.496972 0.720620 0.988339 1.291147 1.652944
2025-04-20 0.118950 0.271042 0.478981 0.758866 1.107093 1.511902 2.005764
2025-04-27 0.080818 0.238470 0.473852 0.805963 1.231696 1.736666 2.361879
2025-05-04 0.061892 0.227981 0.493500 0.880673 1.386857 1.994976 2.754810
2025-05-11 0.041844 0.206769 0.492769 0.924900 1.501425 2.202955 3.087389
2025-05-18 0.022448 0.175100 0.470049 0.934833 1.569153 2.351788 3.347917
2025-05-25 0.005083 0.125249 0.407597 0.881741 1.549859 2.389833 3.472496
2025-06-01 NaN 0.083748 0.347663 0.824593 1.519668 2.410220 3.572309
2025-06-08 NaN 0.059703 0.313078 0.801057 1.531546 2.481062 3.731505
2025-06-15 NaN 0.049419 0.305175 0.818333 1.599015 2.622371 3.977188
2025-06-22 NaN 0.035717 0.283628 0.810609 1.629687 2.715163 4.161931
2025-06-29 NaN 0.021750 0.254819 0.790437 1.645471 2.793627 4.336210
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019252 0.261676 0.833769 1.754869 2.996845 4.669597
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017126 0.268732 0.876972 1.863680 3.198913 5.001118
2025-07-20 NaN 0.016064 0.279581 0.927192 1.983074 3.415320 5.351199
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018646 0.306520 1.007665 2.147709 3.692120 5.778010
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017266 0.315791 1.055062 2.263169 3.903679 6.122478
2025-08-10 NaN 0.012290 0.305928 1.065720 2.323434 4.041576 6.373585
2025-08-17 NaN 0.003893 0.262837 1.008777 2.279869 4.039265 6.445558
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000202 0.220696 0.947363 2.225929 4.020577 6.494701
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.197794 0.922030 2.225523 4.072711 6.632923
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.195226 0.940628 2.294152 4.219274 6.892928